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Indian Equity Summary- • The domestic equity market closed in green on WoW basis as the benchmark indices Nifty/Sensex closed in positive by 1.4%/1.3% respectively. IMF updated its GDP growth forecast for India, and expects during the year, India's economy will contract by 4.5 percent, though in FY22 it is expected to grow by 6%. Negative sentiments like border tension between India and China along with rising Covid- 19 cases may cause intermediate volatility. Above normal expected monsoon will bode well for the Khariff crops. With no fresh talks for further Lockdowns soothed investors' sentiment as well as the business sector , as hint of recovery have already been witnessed in Unlock 1 and going forward Unlock 2.0 hopefully will provide further support . • Going forward, global factors like development on the US -China relationship front , any resurgence of Covid-19 cases globally, as economies have started opening up ; will continue to dictate the trend of the domestic equity market. We expect the trading range for Nifty between 9800-10,500 in the near term. Indian Debt Market- • Government bond prices fell as the yield on the latest 10-year benchmark 5.79% 2030 paper settled at 5.91% on Jun 26 compared with 5.85% on Jun 19.On a review of current and evolving liquidity and market conditions, the Reserve Bank has decided to conduct simultaneous purchase and sale of government securities under Open Market Operations (OMO) for ₹10,000 crores each on July 02, 2020. We expect the 10yr Gsec to soften going forward . • Government of India has announced to launch Floating Rate Savings Bonds, 2020 (Taxable) scheme commencing from July 01, 2020 to enable person resident in India/HUF to invest in a taxable bond, without any monetary ceiling. • We expect the 10 year benchmark yield to trade between 5.80-6.05% in near term. Domestic News • The government announced a Rs 15,000 crore infrastructure development fund with an interest subsidy scheme to promote investment by private players and MSMEs in dairy, meat processing and animal feed plants, a move which is expected to create 3.5 million jobs • India may impose anti-circumvention duty on a chemical, used in electrical, electronic, mechanical and chemical from Korea and China with a view to guard domestic players from cheap imports from these countries. • The government is considering basic customs duty of around 20 percent on solar energy equipment to provide an edge to domestic manufacturers and discourage imports, particularly from China. • Zydus Cadila has received nod from the US health regulator to market generic antihistamine Meclizine hydrochloride tablets International News • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecast a deeper recession for this year and a slower and uncertain recovery for next year after the corona virus, or Covid-19, pandemic plunged the global economy into a crisis like no other. The global economy is set to shrink 4.9 percent this year, which is worse than the 3 percent contraction predicted in April, the lender said in an update to its World Economic Outlook. • China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged for the second straight month despite the economy struggling to recover from the impact of the coronavirus crisis. • First-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits fell by much less than expected in the week ended June 20th to 1.480 million, a decrease of 60,000 from the previous week's revised level of 1.540 million. • US real gross domestic product tumbled by 5.0 percent in the first quarter, unchanged from the estimate provided last month. The steep drop in GDP in the first quarter reflects a notable turnaround from the 2.1 percent jump seen in the fourth quarter of 2019.

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